From the Wall Street Journal:
MOSCOW -- For a decade, Russian academic Igor Panarin has been predicting the U.S. will fall apart in 2010. For most of that time, he admits, few took his argument -- that an economic and moral collapse will trigger a civil war and the eventual breakup of the U.S. -- very seriously. Now he's found an eager audience: Russian state media.
California will form the nucleus of what he calls "The Californian Republic," and will be part of China or under Chinese influence. Texas will be the heart of "The Texas Republic," a cluster of states that will go to Mexico or fall under Mexican influence. Washington, D.C., and New York will be part of an "Atlantic America" that may join the European Union. Canada will grab a group of Northern states Prof. Panarin calls "The Central North American Republic." Hawaii, he suggests, will be a protectorate of Japan or China, and Alaska will be subsumed into Russia.
"It would be reasonable for Russia to lay claim to Alaska; it was part of the Russian Empire for a long time." A framed satellite image of the Bering Strait that separates Alaska from Russia like a thread hangs from his office wall. "It's not there for no reason," he says with a sly grin.
Yeah, right. I guess I just have to laugh. I know I can't predict the future so I don't try very often. However, I simply can't imagine the governors of Texas and the other southern states, after some event that leaves the US government powerless, sitting down and deciding to ask Mexico to intervene on their behalf. Would Mexico invade Texas and Florida and Georgia? Would Arnold Schwarzenegger sit down with the governors of the other western states and say "Let's call China and see if they will act as our benevolent dictator."? Would China invade from across the Pacific? We may be in economic dire straits, but I don't see Professor Panarin's prediction coming true. What do you think?